Stats ended up slightly wrong today, but I still managed to make money. 61% day trading odds of closing above the open, I got long on a small dip and exited on a huge spike. Notice I have a pattern of missing large run ups due to my VSA exiting criteria. Half of the time it will protect me from losses as well.
Es futures stats were bullish. My goal was to buy the dip. Since the day before closed on the lows, I figured if the market will rally, it will do so fairly early (bull market behavior!). I entered on the first small spike down and exited on some spike action on the way up. I missed out on a huge run up, this is a problem I am trying to address on both a psychological as well as systematic space.
Statistical odds for the YM futures were bullish with 60% chance of closing green. I waited for the market to drop a bit according to my intraday VSA rules and got long. I exited when I saw a large range spike, thinking the market would come back a little before moving forward. That was pretty dumb of me, but at least it’s a profit.